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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 12th, 2011–Dec 13th, 2011

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Cloudy with a chance of flurries. Ridgetop winds light-moderate from the northwest. Treeline temperatures near -6 with freezing levels at valley bottom. Wednesday/Thursday: Moderate snowfall amounts expected. Winds switching to moderate north westerlies.

Avalanche Summary

There have been no recent avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

The snow surface is wind hammered in windward and exposed areas, a strong melt-freeze crust on solar aspects, and dry faceted powder with large surface hoar on shady sheltered slopes. A thick rain crust is down 20-40cm and extends up to treeline elevations. The midpack consists of recently settled snow where the weak interfaces have gained strength. Down 100-200cm are two more crusts combined with a mixture of surface hoar. The base of the snowpack consists of mixed forms (rounding facets/rounding depth hoar) with an associated crust are prevalent, and have been especially problematic where it is overlying summer firn.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.