Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 30th, 2022–Mar 31st, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Purcells.

Evaluate surface conditions throughout the day. 

As the surface crust breaks down and snow becomes wet, avalanches become more likely. Brief periods of strong sunshine and rising temperatures can quickly increase danger. 

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the timing or intensity of solar radiation and its effect on the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Light westerly winds. Freezing levels drop to 1000 m. Isolated flurries possible. 

THURSDAY: A mix of sun and cloud, light to moderate westerly winds. Isolated flurries possible, delivering 5 cm to western terrain and a trace in the east. Freezing levels peak at 1600 m, alpine highs of +1.

FRIDAY: A mix of sun and cloud with light southwest winds. Freezing levels around 1800 m. Alpine highs of +3. 

SATURDAY: A mix of sun and cloud, light snowfall over the day. Freezing levels around 1800 m. Alpine highs of +3. 

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, several large wet avalanches were naturally triggered by sun, warm temperatures and cornice falls. Activity occurred on all aspects, up to size 3.

On Monday, several natural wet avalanches were reported to size 2.5

Avalanche activity is expected to decrease as temperatures cool and freezing levels drop. 

Snowpack Summary

Small pockets of wind loading may sit on north and east facing slopes in the alpine. A crust exists on all aspects as high as 2500 m, softening in the afternoon at all elevations with warm temperatures and sun creating moist surface snow. At very low elevations, the snowpack may be wet and isothermal, depending on overnight freezing levels. 

At 30 to 75 cm below the snow surface, a sun crust can be found on solar aspects. This layer was buried in early March and produced several avalanches last week. The recent warm weather seems to have helped this layer bond. The lower snowpack is generally strong and well bonded.

Terrain and Travel

  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.
  • As surface loses cohesion due to melting, loose wet avalanches become common in steeper terrain.
  • Minimize exposure to sun-exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.
  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.