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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 7th, 2013–Jan 8th, 2013

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

South Columbia.

It is time to make conservative terrain choices, and avoid exposure to overhead hazard.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Tuesday: Strong Southwest winds and another 10-15 cms of snow by morning. The next stronger pulse of moisture should start by Tuesday late morning. Expect 15-20 cms with moderate Southerly winds by early evening.Wednesday: Another 15-20 cms with building Southwest winds and freezing levels rising up to about 1500 metres.Thursday: Flurries ending during the day as a ridge of high pressure moves into the region.

Avalanche Summary

Soft slabs are becoming reactive to light additional loads. Expect this problem to continue to become more reactive and result in larger avalanches as the storm slab develops.

Snowpack Summary

Some areas are reporting about 40 cms of storm snow above the surface hoar/surface faceting/sun crusts that were buried on January 4th. Where this slab is thicker, it has become reactive to skiers and riders. This new storm slab is expected to continue to develop due to forecast snow fall amounts. The mid-pack is strong, and deeply buried weak layers have not been reactive.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.