Avalanche forecast

Badshot-Battle

Jan 26 – 27, 2024Avalanche Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 3 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sun
Mon
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Recent snow has been most reactive in wind-loaded terrain features. Buried weak layers continue to be an active avalanche problem.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely - Very Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    Wind slabs sitting over a weak layer of facets have shown wide propagation and sensitivity to human triggers. Avoid areas of wind-loaded snow in leeward terrain features at upper elevations.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1.5–3

    This problem encompasses two active weak layers. A layer of facets is buried 30-50 cm deep and a crust/facet/surface hoar layer 60-90 cm deep. Avalanches have been observed on both of these layers in recent days.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Storm slabs and persistent slabs have been reactive in recent days, both naturally and to human triggers. Storm slabs have shown high sensitivity with wide propagation and remote triggers, averaging size 1.5-2. Persistent slab avalanches have been large, size 2-3.

Snowpack Summary

Ongoing flurries continue to accumulate. 30-50 cm of recent snow sits on facets formed during the mid January cold snap. At upper elevations, this snow has been redistributed by wind.

A few layers of note exist in the mid snowpack. Another crust/facet/surface hoar layer buried in early January is now 60-90 cm deep. A layer of surface hoar buried in early December is now 130+ cm deep. This layer is of most concern above 2000 m where a robust crust doesn't exist above it.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Around 5 cm of new snow. Southwest alpine wind 40 km/h. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries bring a trace of new snow. Southwest alpine wind 30-40 km/h. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1400 m.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with flurries brining a few cm of new snow. Southwest alpine wind 30-40 km/h. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with around 10 mm of mixed precip. Southwest alpine wind 40-50 km/h. Treeline temperature +2 °C. Freezing level 2500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.

Regions covered