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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 5th, 2024–Jan 6th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

East Kakwa, Tumbler.

Sled cautiously...

Rider triggered avalanches are unlikely, the more significant hazard is the shallow snowpack.

We are Forecasting busted A arms for those who get after it.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported. There are very few field observations coming from this forecast area. Remember that a lack of avalanche reports does not necessarily mean a lack of avalanche activity.

If you go out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

Check out this MIN from our field team describing conditions at Core Lodge.

A wide spread crust exists on or near the surface below 1400 m. South facing slopes are generally scoured.

The snowpack is shallow and facetted (sugary) with multiple crusts in the mid pack. Pockets of deeper, wind-loaded snow may be found near ridges, gully features, and established avalanche paths.

Average snowpack depths at treeline are roughly 20 to 80 cm.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

A mix of clear skies and cloud with trace amounts of new snow expected, southwest alpine wind 15 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -6°C.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with trace amounts of new snow expected, west alpine wind 15 to 25 km/h, treeline temperature -15°C.

Sunday

Sunny with no new snow expected, west alpine wind 15 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature -14°C.

Monday

A mix of sun and cloud with trace amounts of new snow expected, west alpine wind 20 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -9°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Expect shallow snow cover that barely covers ground roughness.
  • Avalanche danger is often elevated in alpine gullies where snow has accumulated.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.