Avalanche forecast

Vancouver Island

Dec 6 – 7, 2022Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Continue to assess conditions as you gain elevation. Small wind slabs could be found when dry snow is encountered.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–1.5

    It may still be possible to trigger slabs on some steep wind-loaded slopes.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported, but observations are limited this time of year. If you head into the backcountry please submit a MIN report!

Snowpack Summary

Warm temperatures over the weekend have settled the fresh snow from last week. Expect a surface crust to have formed in many areas. Some dry snow may still be found on the highest north-facing terrain. Open terrain was heavily wind-affected prior to the warm up.

80 to 100 cm of snow can be found in the alpine, with wind-loaded areas up to 150 cm. Every storm brings the snowpack closer to the threshold for avalanches, however some areas at treeline and most areas below treeline have yet to overcome ground roughness.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Light flurries bringing trace amounts of new snow. Light northwest winds with a low of -5 at 1000m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with light flurries bringing trace amounts of new snow. Light northwest winds with freezing levels rising to 600m.

Wednesday

Stormy with 10cm of new snow expected by end of day. Moderate southerly wind. Freezing level rising to 600m.

Thursday

Cloudy with another 5 to 10cm of new snow. Moderate southwest winds and -7 at 1000m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.
  • Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
  • A crust on the surface will help bind the snow together, but may make for tough travel conditions.

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