Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Dec 16 – 17, 2025Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 10 months ago

Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
4 · High
Below
4 · High

Highlights

Stormy weather will bring upwards of 50-70cm of snow, strong winds, and lower elevation rain. Bulk of the precipitation will arrive Monday to early Tuesday. Highway 93 is closed currently until avalanche control occurs on Tuesday. Check 511 for updates.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely - Very Likely
    Size
    1–3

    Winds have been in the extreme values. Wind slab development is inevitable. Local terrain influences and changing wind directions may load non-typical locations.

  • Loose Dry

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely - Very Likely
    Size
    1–2

    The incoming storm snow, particularly on steep slopes, will lack cohesion and result in loose dry avalanches of significant size and length. Rain in lower elevations could soak the snow resulting in some moist loose avalanches.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    1.5–3

    Storm amounts could reach 70cm. Expect many slopes to be primed or overloaded resulting in high potential for natural and human triggered activity.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Monday Maligne patrol observed a few small low elevation loose wet avalanches. It was raining. Sunday's Icefield patrol noted similar activity and Alpine locations were obscured. Icefield's road is closed for the incoming storm thus no patrol Monday.

Snowpack Summary

Saturday to Monday morning brought 20cm of new snow plus steady moderate gusting extreme winds loading lee features. This overlies a previous 50 cm of storm snow from Dec 8th which rests on a facet interface. A small crust is located 30cm up from ground.

Weather Summary

Monday to Tuesday will be intense snowfall, 50cm of snow, moderate gusting extreme winds, and -1 to -8 °C. Wednesday to Thursday may bring an additional 25cm of snow. Friday's temperatures will plummet to -21 °C.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Loose avalanches may step down to deeper layers, resulting in larger avalanches.

Regions covered