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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 14th, 2025–Dec 15th, 2025

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

North Columbia, South Columbia, Glacier, Esplanade, Jordan, North Selkirk, Dogtooth, St. Mary, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold, Retallack, Valhalla, Whatshan.

Another round of snow, wind, and warm temperatures!

Natural avalanches are expected - avoid avalanche terrain and overhead hazard. Weak layers may produce full path avalanches.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

A widespread avalanche cycle to size 3.5 occurred over the last week, with continued snowfall. Avalanches failed within the storm snow, and on buried weak layers - creating large avalanches running from alpine start zones into below treeline terrain.

Continued loading from snow, wind and rain is expected to produce further avalanche cycles of this nature.

Snowpack Summary

Storm totals continue to rise! Another 10-40 cm of new snow adds to the 50-150 cm of rapidly settling snow from the last week. In some areas, a crust can be found buried 20-45 cm deep.

Below all of this storm snow, sits a weak layer of facets - more common in wind-exposed terrain, or surface hoar - most likely in sheltered treeline features.

A hard crust from mid November sits 130-160 cm deep, with faceted snow above. This layer has recently produced large avalanches due to increased loading.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night
Cloudy. 5 to 15 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1700 m.

Monday
Cloudy. 10 to 20 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 2000 m.

Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. 5 to 15 cm of snow. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. 15 to 25 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 900 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain; avalanches may run surprisingly far.
  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.