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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 25th, 2025–Dec 26th, 2025

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast, North Shore, Sasquatch, Sky Pilot, Tetrahedron.

Expect to find a touchy and destructive storm slab problem waiting for you when you get into the mountains on Friday. Stick to lower-angled, low consequence terrain to manage it.

Confidence

No Rating

  • Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Avalanche Summary

Observations have been limited due to stormy conditions in the past week but observations like this one from the Sea to Sky likely mirrored Wednesday's conditions at upper elevations on the South Coast.

Moderate to heavy snowfall through Friday should maintain dangerous avalanche conditions.

Snowpack Summary

25 to 40 cm of new snow should accumulate by end of day Friday, most of it over Thursday night.

Light accumulations of 5 to 10 cm per day followed a 20 cm accumulation on Monday, brings us to about 100 to 150 cm of settling storm snow since Dec 17. Each round of substantial snowfall and wind loading has produced storm and wind slab problems, generally limited to each day's accumulations.

In most places the storm snow overlies bare ground. At alpine elevations it covers a crust over 20 to 50 cm of old, wet snow.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night
Cloudy with increasing snowfall bringing 20 to 30 cm of new snow, greatest in the east of the region. 20 to 40 km/h south ridgetop wind, increasing. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 700 to 1000 m, rising.

Friday
Cloudy with easing flurries bringing 5 to 10 cm of snow, potentially double near Sasquatch. 20 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind, easing. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 700 m.

Saturday
Mostly sunny. 10 to 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind, increasing. Treeline temperature -8 °C. Freezing level to valley bottom.

Sunday
A mix of sun and clouds with isolated flurries. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Don't let storm day fever lure you into consequential terrain.
  • Start with conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.