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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 14th, 2013–Dec 17th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Strong West winds have stripped many areas of snow and left windslabs in many others. Early season hazards remain with careful route route selection and conservative travel necessary if venturing off of the trails especially at lower elevations.

Weather Forecast

We are emerging from a very cold and windy period. Until we receive small amounts of new snow this weekend there remains very little snow left for the wind to transport. The increasing temperatures are the most important factor for travelers to consider right now.  Although slabs are settling, slab strength be lowest during temperature peaks.

Snowpack Summary

Little Prairie: 63cm snow. Summit Lake: 120 cm. Strong winds since 1208 have scoured Western slopes and created windslabs. The facet and melt freeze crust interface below these slabs is likely gaining strength however triggering these slabs will remain a possibility as temperatures continue to rise.

Avalanche Summary

In the last 3 days in the Park, a few windslabs failed during periods of intense loading near ridgelines and in open gully features at or below treeline. In nearby areas there have been reports of both controlled and accidental avalanches involving windslabs in similar terrain.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.