Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 7th, 2018–Mar 8th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Danger will increase as incoming snow and wind forms fresh slabs. Snowfall amounts for Thursday are uncertain, so be prepared to dial back your terrain selection if there's rapid loading.

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY: Flurries increasing throughout the day with 10-20 cm of snow possible by the afternoon, strong southwest wind, freezing level rising to around 1500 m.FRIDAY: Flurries continue over Thursday night and into Friday and bring another 10-20 cm of snow, clearing in the afternoon, strong southwest wind easing throughout the day, freezing level rising to around 1200 m.SATURDAY: Sunny, light wind, freezing level rising to around 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, a size 1 wind slab was skier-triggered on a south aspect at 2200 m and nearby explosive control produced a size 2 wind slab. No other notable activity was reported.The most recent report of a persistent slab avalanche was on Sunday, when a skier accidentally triggered a large avalanche on a north treeline slope in the Rossland area (see details here). The avalanche failed on a surface hoar layer 80 cm below the surface. Looking ahead, persistent weak layers could be stressed by the weight of the new snow or by the warming that will follow the storm.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20 cm of new snow could accumulate by Thursday afternoon, with even deeper deposits possible at higher elevations. The new snow is falling on mostly unconsolidated snow from last week's storm and possibly on a sun crust on south-facing slopes.A mix of interfaces exist 50-100 cm below the surface, including small surface hoar on polar aspects and a crust on solar aspects. These layers have consistently been reactive in snowpack tests, suggesting they could potentially remain reactive to human triggers as well.Deeper weak layers that formed in January and December have gained strength and gone dormant at this time. They include several surface hoar and facet layers 1 to 2 m below the surface and a crust/ facet interface near the base of the snowpack.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.