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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 27th, 2018–Mar 28th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Sheltered terrain should offer good skiing above 2000m

Weather Forecast

Cooler temps will follow Tuesday's snowfall with strong SW winds switching to West winds into Wednesday. Broken skies will be replaced by another pulse of snow on Friday and 15-25cm of additional snowfall. Cold arctic air will displace the snow with overnight lows reaching below -20 Saturday morning.

Snowpack Summary

Strong SW winds are moving today's 10-20cm of new storm snow under near zero temps, creating windslabs on lee and cross-loaded features and increasing spring cornices. Early March warm temps created a strong bridging layer, which is capped with a crust on solar aspects to 3000m. This layer is promoting good skiing and travel.

Avalanche Summary

Poor visibility today during storm, no observations from today. Natural avalanches to size 2.5 in the last 5 days from steep, wind loaded terrain. Cornice failures are likely and have caused natural avalanches to size 2 in the last week.

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Friday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.