Be aware of areas that have seen rapid loading due to new snow and strong winds, and avoid exposure to avalanche terrain during these periods.
Confidence
Low - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain
Weather Forecast
We're looking at a lull in the active weather pattern from Wednesday onwards.WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Moderate westerly ridgetop winds. Freezing level around 1200 m.THURSDAY: Cloudy with sunny breaks during the day and isolated flurries. Moderate southwesterly ridgetop winds. Freezing level around 1100 m. FRIDAY: Some isolated flurries (5 cm possible). Moderate south west ridgetop winds. Freezing level around 1000 m.
Avalanche Summary
On Monday, a Size 2 wind slab was reported with explosives control work in the north of the region on a northerly aspect near 2300m. Natural avalanche activity is expected on Tuesday with another pulse of snow. We currently have very limited observations in this region. Please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN).
Snowpack Summary
Last week, the November 23rd crust formed as temperatures cooled and the rain-soaked snow surface froze. Since then, 15-40cm of snow has fallen at treeline and above with moderate to strong south (west) winds, creating wind slabs sitting on a crust. The depth of the snowpack varies greatly with elevation. Recent reports suggest the average depth is 150+cm in the alpine, 100-150cm at treeline, and decreasing rapidly below treeline where the primary hazards are rocks, stumps, and open creeks. Two other layers have been reported in the snowpack: 1) The Halloween crust (down 100cm at treeline elevations) and 2) The November 10th surface hoar / facets (down 80cm at treeline elevations). We have very little information on how reactive these layers are, in fact, we currently have very limited snowpack observations within this entire region and it is critical to supplement this information with your own observations.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.