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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 3rd, 2015–Feb 4th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

Weather Forecast

Warming temperatures decreasing winds and continued light snow will add to the surface storm slab through today.  There will be a break in the precipitation Wednesday with Thursday bringing another pulse of Pacific moisture. 

Snowpack Summary

Upwards of 40cm of storm snow sits on top of the Jan 30 surface hoar/crust layer.  Expect to find the Jan 30 crust up to 2200m with firm, wind pressed snow at higher elevations.  Jan 15 surface hoar layer is down 70-110cm and the December 17 is down 140-190 cm. 

Avalanche Summary

Numerous avalanches occurred in the highway corridor in the size 1 to 2 range.  These slides were mainly found in steep gully features.

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.