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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 28th, 2016–Mar 29th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Danger levels will spike with increasing temperatures and the strong March sun beating down on the slopes.

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud today with nil precipitation, light northerly ridge-top winds, and freezing levels rising to 1900m. The clouds should dissipate by tomorrow as a ridge of high pressure sits down on the province. Freezing levels will spike well above 2000m by Wednesday as we prepare for the warmth of spring.

Snowpack Summary

~50cm of storm snow combined with sustained SW winds created a slab that is up to 1m deep on lee slopes. This slab overlies a crust on all aspects, providing a good sliding surface. Avalanches may step down to multiple crusts in the top metre. Overnight refreeze created a surface crust at lower elevations that is insulating ~40cm of wet snow.

Avalanche Summary

No new activity observed yesterday. However, warm temperatures over the weekend triggered wet point releases as well as a very large glide crack release (size 3.5). On Friday, a group of 5 accidentally triggered a size 3.0 avalanche on the steep roll on the Thorington line in the Asulkan Valley (NE asp, 2600m, 70m X 100m, 80cm deep on a crust).

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.