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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 13th, 2013–Mar 14th, 2013

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

A strong storm bringing warm temperatures and high winds with heavy precipitation. Expect avalanches running to the end of the runnouts today.

Weather Forecast

A strong westerly flow will continue to bring moderate to heavy precipitation and high to extreme winds with rising temperatures through Thursday. This storm is expected to quiet down on Friday.

Snowpack Summary

30cm of new snow overnight on top of 15cm of recent storm snow has been very wind affected and has begun to form slab conditions. Below 1700m the Mar 3 rain crust, 3-4cm thick, is down 40cm. The Feb 12 surface hoar is down 120 to 150cm.

Avalanche Summary

A cycle of avalanche activity has begun overnight caused by rapid loading of the 30cm of new snow by the strong to very strong winds. Numerous avalanches have been observed this morning running to valley bottom.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.