Avalanche forecast

Ogden

Issued Dec 14, 2023valid to Dec 15, 2023Utah Avalanche Center

Avalanche danger

Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline

Out of date — this forecast expired 3 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The avalanche danger is MODERATE on slopes over 30° in upper elevation terrain. Areas with a thinner snowpack are where it would be possible to trigger an avalanche 1-3' deep failing into the older faceted snow. The avalanche danger is LOW at lower and mid-elevation terrain. Yesterday's strong winds transported loose surface snow into stiff wind-slabs. This problem will be easy to see; look for and avoid smooth, pillowy, or rounded piles of snow. Today, I will be staying away from steeper terrain (over 30°) with wind loading as an avalanche involving wind slabs on top of a PWL would be dangerous.

Avalanche problems

Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Unlikely
Size
3
Triggering an avalanche 1-3' deep down into our old PWL persistent weak layer of facets and crusts is becoming less likely. Snow pits continue to show poor structure; cracking and collapsing have become much less common and not seeing these signs does not mean a slope is stable. Extended Column Tests from recent observations show stubborn propagation in snowpits throughout the range.

UAC forecaster Eric Trenbeath wrote a blog about his experience with PWL in the Wasatch Mountains that's worth reading about HERE.
Wind Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Unlikely
Size
2
Yesterday the winds blew from the east and transported snow onto leeward slopes in the upper elevations. I would look for this problem at all aspects above treeline as yesterday's strong winds swirled and loaded snow in strange patterns.

The stubborn nature of this problem could allow you to travel out into the middle of a slope before it breaks above you.

Special Announcement

Join the UAC and Young Powersports in Centerville on Thursday, December 14, from 5 - 7 PM for a FREE avalanche transceiver training. Details HERE.

Recent Activity

Yesterday ski areas reported wind-drifted snow avalanches with explosives on steep north-west facing aspects and on mid-pack facets on east and southeast aspects all above treeline. These pencil hard slab avalanches were failing 1-3' deep and up to 200' wide. There were no new reports of avalanches from the backcountry yesterday. Read all the backcountry observations HERE.

Snow and Weather

Under clear skies mountain temperatures are in the mid 20's °F. Winds have calmed down and are blowing lightly from the west 5 gusting to 10 MPH at most locations. There was no new snow reported overnight and snow heights range from 1-4'. For today, winds will blow lightly from a westerly direction 5 gusting to 10 MPH at the 8,000' ridgelines and 15 gusting to 25 MPH at the 9,000' ridgelines. Skies will be clear with temperatures 32-35°F. No new snow is expected today or through the week as high-pressure builds, with the next shot of snow looking to be at least a week out. Read the weather forecast discussion HERE. These weather conditions have and will continue to facet the surface snow (recycled powder) and you can expect to see loose dry avalanches in the steepest terrain on shady aspects. These small avalanches may not be enough to bury you, but could rake you through trees or over a cliff band. The good news is that this layer of faceted surface snow makes for soft turns.

General Announcements

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

Observations and Avalanches

Backcountry Emergency Procedures