Avalanche forecast

Skyline

Utah Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

  • Alpine
  • Treeline
  • Below treeline
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Out of date — this forecast expired 8 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The overall avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline is generally LOW. A storm moving through today may increase the avalanche danger slightly as the day goes on. Watch for fresh drifts that form along high ridgelines, especially on the more east facing steep terrain.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    My gut tells me that today's snow is going to be plastered into place and there won't be any significant avalanche danger. However, as usual when snow is falling, pay attention to what it's doing. Watch for cracking within the new snow which indicates things are unstable. If we see drifts form, they will be along the higher ridgelines and most pronounced on the east facing terrain. If you see these, it's best to avoid them.

Snow and Weather

General Conditions: The prolonged period of warm weather is really astonishing to me. Wednesday was another day with daytime temperatures well into the 40s and it's barely dropped to near freezing overnight. Wind has been calm to light from, generally, a southwest direction. Very light snowfall started around midnight and there's about a trace of new snow in the higher terrain. The rain/snow level is at least up around 8000 feet, maybe higher.

Mountain Weather: The storm will continue to move through today and tonight with periods of "on and off" precipitation. Temperatures are going to, once again, be ridiculously warm. We'll see highs pushing 40°F. The rain/snow level is going to be crazy high. Maybe rain to the peaks? Wind from the southwest should speed up into the moderate speed category. I'm expecting about 1/2 inch of water from this storm by mid day Friday. This would normally translate to 5 to 7 inches of snow. With the very warm temperatures, the snow is going to be very dense and probably not as deep as it normally would be. Temperatures gradually cool down tonight and snow densities should be lower and the rain/snow level should drop to around 7000 feet.

Additional Info

SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS

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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

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