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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 26th, 2013–Mar 27th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Mainly clear skies with some high-mid cloud cover and temperatures steadily increasing by the weekend.Wednesday: Mix of sun and cloud. Treeline temperatures near -2.0. Freezing levels rising to 1500 m in the afternoon and then falling to 900 m overnight. Ridgetop winds will be light from the SE.Thursday/Friday: Partial cloud cover, then mostly sunny on Friday. Treeline temperatures near -1.0. Freezing levels will ride to 1900 m and then falling back to 300 m overnight. Ridgetop winds will be light rom the SW.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, numerous loose dry and wet avalanches occurred, mostly from step terrain features. Natural cornice fall up to size 2.0 was also reported. Be aware of continued natural loose wet, or wet slab avalanche activity especially on solar aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Large fragile cornices loom over many slopes. These may become weak and fail due to the influence of the sunshine. Cornice fall can act as a large trigger on slopes below, and may trigger a deeper instability if it exists. Surface snow has become moist up to 2000 m, and melt-freeze crusts are forming on solar aspects.Last week's storm snow is settling into a cohesive slab overlying an old crust ( down 50-60 cm) that exists up to ridge top. The crust appears to have gained some strength in most places, but may still host a poor bond and has been susceptible to skier and rider triggers. A buried surface hoar layer sits approximately 80 cm below the surface and continues to fail in a sudden planar fashion when tested. In some places it may not be a concern due to the thick supportive crust that lies above it. However, it may be more reactive to a trigger from a variable, thin snowpack area or a large trigger like a cornice fall or a snowmobiler.

Problems

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.