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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 12th, 2015–Feb 13th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Warm temps and the lack of a solid overnight freeze are keeping the hazard elevated. Watch for signs of instability at treeline. Whumphing and cracking are still being observed.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Another warm day is expected. Freezing levels will hit 2100m. There will be some cloud, but the sun could make brief appearances. Watch for solar heating in south and southwest slopes. Alpine highs will reach -1, and the winds will be moderate from the west. No new snow is expected until later in the week.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches today

Snowpack Summary

Sustained temperatures above zero have left the snowpack below 2100m moist. There has been some overnight recovery with light freezes, but by early afternoon the refreeze is pretty much gone. At treeline the story changes a little bit. While cooler, the snowpack has settled considerably and bonded the surface layers. Whumphing is still ongoing in open treeline areas. Alpine elevations have seen some wind and the development of new windslabs. Many crowns from last week's cycle have blown in. Treeline snow depths vary from 160-180.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.