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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 29th, 2014–Nov 30th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Outflow winds are transporting snow in the alpine into pockets of windslab. Cold and clear weather is forecast to continue.

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

The ridge of high pressure is forecast to remain over the province giving cold and clear conditions for Sunday. Some cloud may move into the region on Sunday night as a low pressure system slides down the coast from Alaska. Clear and cold returning for Monday and Tuesday, but cold Northerly outflow winds should end on Sunday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

Strong Northeast outflow winds developed windslabs 10-40 cm deep since Friday. Heavy precipitation gave way to clearing skies and rapidly cooling temperatures early on Friday morning. Most areas saw heavy rain up to at least 2000 m this week. Above this it's possible that dense storm slabs and fresh cornices formed. Where it did rain, the snowpack is probably frozen solid with a dusting of fresh snow on top. The lower elevation snowpack has also thinned significantly. A weak layer of facetted snow on a crust was buried around 50-60 cm deep before the rain. This weakness may have been flushed out or may now be bridged by a solid ice crust; however, there is no new info on this interface so it would be wise to investigate its existence and strength before venturing into bigger terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.