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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 18th, 2019–Feb 19th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Manage your exposure and keep wary to evidence of localized instability such as cracking, whumphing and, recent avalanche activity.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday will be clouds with sun and isolated flurries, alpine temperature high -11 °C, and West 10-25 km/h winds. Wednesday will be a mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries, alpine temperature  low -20 °C and high -10 °C, Northeast 10-30 km/h winds. A detailed mountain weather forecast is available from Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

Cold temps have faceted the upper snowpack leaving a weak slab over a instability of surface hoar/facets on a crust down 40cm. The thicker spots have a strong mid-pack and bridges the deep persistent basal weakness of depth hoar. A thinner snow-pack can act as a slab initiating the basal facets and depth hoar in the lower part of the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No patrol on Monday and nothing new reported. Saturday's field team in Whistler Creek had good ski conditions and no new avalanches in the zone. Recently numerous dry loose up to sz 1 have come out of steep, planar terrain across the forecast region.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.