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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 19th, 2019–Mar 20th, 2019

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Another day of strong sun and warm temperatures will maintain very dangerous avalanche conditions on Wednesday. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Tuesday night: Clear. Light south winds. Freezing levels remaining near 2800 metres. Wednesday: Sunny. Light southeast winds. Alpine high temperatures around +7 with freezing levels around 2900 metres, dropping a bit overnight.Thursday: Mainly sunny. Light south winds. Alpine high temperatures around +5 with freezing levels lowering to 2400 metres over the day, steadying overnight.Friday: A mix of sun and cloud with cloud increasing over the day. Moderate east winds. Alpine high temperatures around +4 with freezing levels around 2500 metres, dropping to 1700 metres by mid-morning Saturday.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Monday included an observation of a size 3 (very large) persistent slab running full path and within 100 metres of the viewing platform at Twin Falls. This highlights the current elevated danger in lower elevation areas threatened by large overhead avalanche paths. Please see the Northwest Coastal forecast's avalanche summary for a description of the natural avalanche cycle that is ongoing in this neighbouring region. With limited observations inland, it is advised to treat this activity as an indication of potential in our region.Natural loose wet avalanches have been widespread and reaching size 2 (large), but were confined mainly to solar aspects on Monday. Only small (size 1) loose wet avalanches have been observed on north aspects thus far.Looking forward, expect the current heightened avalanche activity to continue, potentially expand to all aspects, and intensify as temperatures remain elevated and overnight cooling remains weak.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50 cm of settled snow from storms last week sits on the surface. This snow rests on previously wind affected surfaces, sun crusts (on solar aspects) and weak, sugary facets. The prolonged period of cold temperatures in February has had an overall effect of weakening the upper and mid-snowpack, as well as the basal snowpack in thinner areas. These weaknesses are increasingly being tested under the pattern of strong warming currently affecting the region.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.