Avalanche forecast

Banff Yoho Kootenay

Dec 20 – 21, 2012Parks Canada
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Archived · expired 14 years ago

Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Increased winds are creating thin new slabs in the alpine and at treeline. If the forecasted winds arrive, the hazard will rise. Otherwise, great skiing on a generally stable snowpack.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2
    5-15 cms of new snow along with mod. S/SW winds is creating thin slabs in immediate lees at ridgetop elevations. In most areas, these slabs aren't thick enough to be a concern yet; however, forecasted mod. winds on thursday might elevate the hazard.
  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    2–3
    We are seeing weakening of the Nov 6 crust in thinner areas due to facetting. Although we haven't seen activity on this layer recently, it is still the prominent feature in this years snow pack, and should be evaluated in bigger features.

Weather Forecast

Moderate confidence in the forecasted snowfall amounts.Thurs: Alpine temps -10/-15. 5-10 cms snow with higher values N of Lake Louise.  Alpine winds moderate to strong from the SW.Fri: Alpine temps -10/-15. Clear. Alpine winds light from the S.Sat: Alpine temps -15/-20. 5 cms of new snow. Alpine winds light from the E.

Snowpack Summary

5-15 cms of new snow overlies a well settled midpack. At ridgetop elevations, moderate S/SW winds are forming thin soft slabs in the immediate lee on N through E. The Nov. 6th crust is facetting out, and is now more of a facet layer than a crust in many places. This layer is giving hard to no results in compression tests.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed today by forecasters during a field trip in the Sunshine ski hill backcountry.

Confidence

Wind speed and direction is uncertain on Thursday

Regions covered