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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2018–Feb 7th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Good skiing today.  Wind slabs in the alpine.  We are at a transition where natural avalanches have slowed down, yet human triggered avalanches are still a concern.

Confidence

-

Weather Forecast

Wednesday is to bring cloudy skies with scattered flurries.  Alpine temperatures will be around -7c with west winds of 30km/h.  The next snow is to begin late Wednesday night and bring around 20cm by the end of Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

One size 2 avalanche was noticed near the summit of Mount Nestor.

Snowpack Summary

The recent HST has settled to 40-50cm.  Wind slabs are present on all aspects in the alpine.  Jan 6 SH was found down 90cm at 2000m with no results; yet it was very reactive one valley over two days ago.  We have low confidence in adventuring into big terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.