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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 18th, 2013–Mar 19th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

Slab and loose avalanches can be easily triggered by riders today with fresh snow overtop a crust.

Weather Forecast

Unsettled moist weather pattern producing convective storms with light to locally moderate amounts. A brief ridge of high pressure on Tuesday keeping things dry with sunny skies before a Pacific frontal system arrives on Wednesday bringing moderate amounts of precipitation.

Snowpack Summary

30cm of low density snow over the Mar 16th crust of varying thickness depending on elevation below 2000m. Moist snow below the crust. This overlies a well settled mid pack. The Feb 12 SH is down around 100-150cm.

Avalanche Summary

Several skier triggered avalanches in the Hermit area yesterday to size 1.0. These were low density slabs sliding on a crust down 15cm with surprisingly wide propagation running far and fast.7 natural slab avalanches in the highway corridor ranging in size from 2.0 to 2.5

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Wednesday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.