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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 12th, 2013–Mar 13th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Expect the avalanche hazard to rise with steady snowfall rates and increasing winds today. Loose avalanches may develop into storm slabs as the day progresses.

Weather Forecast

Southwesterly Pacific system forecast to bring moderate amounts of precipitation into Thursday with freezing levels to 1300m today rising to 1700m by Wednesday. Storm intensifying throughout the day.

Snowpack Summary

10-15cm lower density snow over a well settled mid pack above 1700m. Below 1700m the Mar 3 rain crust, 3-4cm thick, is down 10cm. The Feb 12 surface hoar is down 100 to 130cm.

Avalanche Summary

Yesterday: 1 Natural size 2.0 slab avalanche west of Rogers Pass summit on a south aspect

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.