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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 30th, 2025–Jan 31st, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Purcells, Dogtooth, East Purcell.

The incoming storm is driving the avalanche danger. Reactive storm slabs will build throughout the day.

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Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, a natural cornice fall (size 2.5) was reported. It was a couple of days old and scrubbed to the ground. It did not propagate the slope below.

With new snow and strong wind forecast, natural and human-triggered avalanches are likely on Friday.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20 cm of snow is expected to fall by Friday afternoon. The new snow will likley have a poor bond to the plethora of old snow surfaces. These consist of a melt-freeze crust on previously sun-exposed slopes, surface hoar and/or facets on shaded slopes, and wind-affected surfaces in exposed terrain at higher elevations.

A layer of facets and/or surface hoar buried in early December may be found down 50-100 cm, or as shallow as 30 cm around Invermere. Recently this layer has not been a significant problem but should be kept on your radar with additional load from new snow and wind.

The base of the snowpack consists of a thick crust and facets or depth hoar in many areas.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with snow 5 to 10 cm. 15 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Friday

Cloudy with snow 5 to 8 cm. 15 gusting to 45 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1100 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. 15 gusting to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -15 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.