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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2026–Jan 17th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes, Waterton.

A surface crust will begin to form as the temperature drops, making travel more difficult.

Steep solar slopes may become moist and produce wet loose avalanches during the day on Saturday.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to difficult to forecast freezing levels.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous natural wet loose avalanches were observed on Tuesday and Wednesday.

View this MIN report for more details.

Snowpack Summary

Surface snow at all elevations has become moist and is now refreezing into a crust.

The mid pack consists of settled snow, with the late December crust down 65-90 cm deep.

The lower snowpack is refrozen rain effected layers, which are still moist at ground in places.

Weather Summary

Thurs

Sunny with cloudy periods. Alpine High -1 °C. Light ridge wind gusting to 30 km/h. Freezing level is 1800 m.

Fri

Sunny. Alpine Low -8 °C, High -2 °C. Light ridge wind gusting to 40 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Sat

Sunny. Alpine Low -3 °C, High -1 °C. Ridge wind SW 10-20 km/h. Temperature inversion in the alpine.

Current weather forecast: Mountain Weather Forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • The more the snowpack warms up and weakens, the more conservative your terrain selection should be.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.