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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 26th, 2023–Jan 27th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Coastal, Kitimat, Nass, Rupert, Seven Sisters, Shames, Stewart, Howson, Ningunsaw.

The danger rating may be decreasing, however, buried weak layers remain a primary concern. Avoid wind-loaded terrain, and rocky, shallow start zones.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A widespread avalanche cycle occurred Wednesday, up to size 3. Both loose wet and wind slab releases have been reported. While it is suspected some of the avalanche activity likely stepped down to deeper weak layers.

Snowpack Summary

At higher elevations, above roughly 2000 m, new snow has been redistributed by strong southwest winds. At lower elevations expect to find a widespread rain crust on the surface or moist, saturated snow at low elevations that are still experiencing above-freezing temperatures.

A weak layer of surface hoar buried in early January is now down 70-100 cm. This layer is spotty in its distribution and is of greatest concern in sheltered and shaded openings at treeline.

Weak layers that were reactive over the Christmas and New Year's period have shown signs of bonding and gaining strength. These include a surface hoar layer buried on Dec 28 found 50 to 100 cm deep and a facet layer buried on Dec 23 found 70 to 120 cm deep.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Cloudy with isolated flurries and trace accumulation. Treeline temperatures 0 to -5 C. Moderate northwest alpine winds. Freezing levels 1000 m.

Friday

Mostly sunny, with no precipitation. Treeline temperatures 0 to -5 C. Light north alpine winds. Freezing levels 500 m.

Saturday

Sunny, with no precipitation. Treeline temperatures -10 to -15 C. Light to moderate northeast alpine winds.

Sunday

Sunny, with no precipitation. Treeline temperatures -5 to -10 C. Light northeast alpine winds.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avalanche hazard may have improved, but be mindful that deep instabilities are still present.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.