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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 21st, 2024–Dec 22nd, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Coquihalla, Manning, Skagit.

Look for signs of instability as you move through terrain.

Wind slabs may rider triggerable at higher elevations.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Several size 1 (small) avalanches were reported in the alpine on Friday.

Looking ahead, we expect rider-triggerable avalanches to be possible, especially in the alpine where reactive wind slab deposits exist.

Observations have been limited in this region. If you are going out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

Another 10 cm of new snow may have fallen by the end of the day on the 22nd, bringing the 48 hour storm total to 20 cm. Moderate to strong southerly winds are expected to form deeper deposits on north-facing slopes.

In the alpine, an estimated 60 to 100 cm of snow sits above a thin crust. We are not currently concerned about this layer in this region.

Below treeline, a crust or moist snow will likely be observed on the surface.

Snow depths at treeline vary across the region. Around 140 cm is reported in the Coquihalla and 85 cm near Manning Park.

Check out this MIN from Friday.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with 3 to 10 mm of precipitation, falling as snow above 1250 m. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level dropping to 1400 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with 1 to 5 mm of precipitation, falling as snow above 1250 m. 30 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level around 1400 m.

Monday

Cloudy with some clearance in the afternoon, with up to 5 mm of mixed precipitation. 30 to 50 km/h southerly ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with up to 10 mm of mixed precipitation. 50 to 80 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make observations and continually assess conditions as you travel.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with aspect and elevation.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.