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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 9th, 2024–Dec 10th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Coquihalla, Manning, Skagit.

Rising temperatures are increasing the chance of avalanches. Monitor the conditions and back off slopes as the surface becomes wet.

Reactive wind slabs may exist in high elevation terrain.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

There have been no recent reports in the region. We suspect the likelihood of avalanches has decreased substantially since the storm on the weekend, but rider-triggered wind slabs may still be possible at upper elevations on Tuesday.

Wet loose avalanches may be seen as freezing levels rise above mountain top.

If you are going out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

The surface snow will likely become wet due to warm alpine temperatures.

In the alpine, 20 to 40 cm of snow from the weekend sits above a thin crust. At lower 10-20 cm of snow sits above a a crust. The snow is moist below the crust.

Snow depths at treeline vary across the region. Around 90 cm is reported in the Coquihalla and 60 cm near Manning Park.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with isolated flurries. 10 to 15 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

Wednesday

Cloudy with sunny periods. <10 km/h west ridgetop wind with strong gusty winds at times. Treeline temperature +4 °C. Freezing level 2500 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with scattered flurries 4 to 8 cm. Light (gusty at times) west ridgetop. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 2700 m.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with flurries 5 to 10 cm. 15 kim/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, or recent avalanches.
  • Loose avalanches may start small, but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
  • If you are increasing your exposure to avalanche terrain, do it gradually as you gather information.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.