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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 17th, 2024–Jan 18th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Give the new snow time to stabilize. Watch for fresh windslabs at ridge top especially on south through west aspects.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Widespread natural avalanche activity was observed in the highway corridor on Wednesday. The largest avalanches(up to size 3) were from the steep south face of Mt Tupper.

Tuesday there was a skier triggered avalanche on Cheops on a steep west aspect. This was a windslab on top of a crust and ran for approximately 200m.

Bruins Ridge saw a sz 2 wind slab fail on a SW aspect, most likely on the underlying suncrust.

*All skier triggered avalanches failed on a suncrust.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate northerly winds have redistributed the recent 10-20cms of storm snow. beneath this recent storm snow is a layer of harder wind affected snow sitting on a sun crust on solar aspects.

In sheltered areas below treeline this new snow is evenly distributed and sitting on facets.

Below 2100m there is a crust down 70-80cm (from Dec 5th/6th).

The Dec 1 surface hoar layer is down 90-120cm and is decomposing. However, it is still reactive in isolated snowpack tests.

Weather Summary

After a brief stormy period we will be back to high pressure and cold clear weather.

Tonight: Clear with cloudy periods, Alp low -21°C, wind: east 20 km/hr.

Thurs: Mix of sun/cloud, nil snow, Alp high -10°C, wind: SE 20km/hr.

Friday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries, trace amount of snow, Alp high -5°C, Wind: SW 25km/hr

Sat: Flurries (7 cm), Alp high -15°C, light E wind.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.