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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 20th, 2023–Dec 21st, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead, South Rockies, Akamina, Flathead, Lizard, Bull, Crowsnest North, Crowsnest South, Elkford East, Elkford West.

With surface warming, surface snow may become more reactive. Uncertainty remains about the amount of dry snow residing at upper elevations throughout the region.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Explosives controls produced numerous storm slabs up to size 1.5 around Fernie. Several loose dry avalanches were observed on steep alpine terrain Wednesday. If you go out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

Variable surfaces exist at treeline and above; up to 10 cm of fresh snow, wind-affected surface, and melt-freeze crust. Surface snow is moist from 2000 m and below. A prominent rain crust is 30 to 60 cm deep. The greatest amounts of recent snow are likely around Fernie, but any leeward terrain could have deeper deposits due to the recent southwest wind.

The lower snowpack was rain-soaked and remains moist in some areas. Typical snowpack depths at treeline are 75 to 130 cm, and taper rapidly below treeline.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace accumulation, alpine wind southwest 30 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature 0° C, freezing level at 1700 m. A refreezing layer should develop at surface overnight.

Thursday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace accumulation, alpine wind west 30 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -1° C, freezing level at 1800 m. A refreezing layer should develop at surface overnight.

Friday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, 5 cm of wet snow in afternoon/ evening, alpine wind southwest 40 to 50 km/h, treeline temperature -1° C, freezing level at 1800 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with 5 cm of snow, alpine wind northwest 30 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -2° C, freezing level 1000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be alert to conditions that change with aspect and elevation.
  • Watch for unstable snow on specific terrain features, especially when the snow is moist or wet.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.