Avalanche Forecast

On Monday, near Golden, explosives avalanche control produced a few large (size 2) storm or wind slab avalanches, and one very large (size 3) deep persistent slab avalanche. These avalanches occurred on steep, rocky, sparsely treed ridge features.

West of Invermere, a large (size 2.5), naturally triggered loose wet avalanche was reported that likely started just below treeline, and buried a road cut 2-3 m deep.

On Thursday, north of Golden, just outside of the forecast area, a large (size 2), rider triggered, deep persistent slab avalanche was reported on a northwest aspect in the alpine. The avalanche started 50 m above the riders, and 2 sympathetic avalanches were observed on the adjacent slope. See the excellent Mountain Information Network (MIN) post here for more information, including photos, and reflections on a close call.

15-30 cm of recent snow in the alpine covers settling, dry snow on shaded (northerly) aspects, and a frozen crust on solar aspects. At treeline, the recent snow is likely to be denser, shallower, and moist or refrozen.

Below treeline, rain soaked surfaces are starting to freeze as temperatures drop, and a lot more dirt is showing at low elevations.

The mid snowpack is generally settled and strong, although west of Invermere, some professional operations are still monitoring a layer of weak, feathery surface hoar crystals that was buried in mid January.

The lower snowpack includes a widespread layer of large, weak facets and/or depth hoar crystals. This weak layer has been responsible for several very large and destructive avalanches throughout the season, including one last Thursday.

Overnight cooling followed by afternoon rising freezing levels and warming is likely to unconsolidated and rapidly settle the upper snowpack especially on south aspect terrain when the sun appears. Prepare to continually evaluate the conditions, and change plans as necessary.

Tuesday Night

Clearing with cloudy periods. 1-5 cm of snow is possible in the alpine. Freezing level descending to 700m, Alpine temperature low of -8°C. Light southwest ridgetop wind.

Wednesday

Clear and sunny with no forecast precipitation. Freezing level rising to 1600m mid day. Alpine temperature high of -1. Light northwest wind.

Thursday

Clear and sunny with no forecast precipitation. Freezing level rising to 1500m mid day. Alpine temperature high of -1°C. Light northwest wind.

Friday

Clear and sunny with no forecast precipitation. Freezing level rising to 1700m mid day. Alpine temperature high of 0°C. Light northwest wind.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

• Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
• Be alert to conditions that change throughout the day.
• Be alert to conditions that change with aspect and elevation.
• Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.