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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 29th, 2021–Dec 30th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

With these frigid temperatures, be aware that even a small incident may have serious consequences. The best and safest riding will be on slopes that have soft snow without any slab properties. 

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the speed, direction, or duration of the wind and its effect on the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

A system, approaching from the north, is aiming at the B.C. coast, with light snow but strong steady winds into the NW ranges. Thursday, an arctic ridge of high pressure will re-establish itself, leading to another clear and cold day heading into Friday. The next round of snow is expected Saturday.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Light snow 3-5 cm / Strong west winds at treeline / Low of -15

THURSDAY: Clearing throughout the day / Moderate north winds at treeline / Possible temperature inversion with -25 at the valley bottom and -15 at 1500 m.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with snow expected late afternoon / Light northwest winds at treeline / Possible temperature inversion with -30 at the valley bottom and -15 at 1500 m.

SATURDAY: Snow 10-15 cm / Strong to extreme southwest winds at treeline/ High of -10

Avalanche Summary

A small (size 1) wind slab avalanche was easily triggered by a snowmobile Wednesday on a convex roll at treeline. Intense snow transport and drifting were observed in the alpine.

Explosives triggered numerous large wind slabs (size 2) with good propagation on alpine lee North-facing slopes in the southern part of the region.

If you are out in the mountains please consider filling out a Mountain Information Network report.

Snowpack Summary

New snow and wind forecasted for Wednesday night will have formed fresh and reactive wind slabs at treeline and alpine, predominantly found on east aspects. In some areas, wind slabs are sitting on a weak surface of faceted snow due to last week's cold temperatures.

Significant faceting was also observed over the thick early December crust, which can still be found down 70 cm around 1800 m. 

Snowpack depth at treeline typically ranges from 120-220 cm, with higher values in the western part of the region and tapering to the east. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Sheltered slopes at lower elevations will offer the best riding.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.