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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 10th, 2025–Apr 11th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Rockies, Sugarbowl, East Kakwa, Kakwa, McGregor, Pine Pass, Tumbler.

New snow is expected to be reactive to human triggers.

Natural avalanches, cracking and hollow, drum-like sounds are classic signs of instability.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

The last avalanche activity reported was on Tuesday, where a size 2 naturally triggered wet loose avalanche was reported from a northeast alpine face.

Looking forward, we expect new slabs to be reactive to human triggers.

Snowpack Summary

15-45 cm of snow is expected by Friday afternoon, falling over dry snow on high north-facing slopes and over a crust elsewhere. The upper snowpack is generally moist, with a crust from last week's rain event.

Below treeline elevations hold isothermal snow.

A persistent weak layer from early March is buried 50–100 cm deep, as surface hoar on sheltered north and east alpine slopes. Its distribution is variable, and although no recent avalanches have been reported, it remains a concern for triggering under heavy loads or as a potential step-down layer.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with 10 to 20 cm of snow overnight. 50 to 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level drops to 800 m.

Friday

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow in most areas. High terrain in the west (Pine Pass to Monkman) may see up to 25 cm of snow. 50 to 70 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud. 25 gusting to 45 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Sunday

Mostly clear skies with 30 km/h west ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.