Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 2nd, 2026–Feb 3rd, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Flathead, Lizard, Moyie, St. Mary.

We are uncertain how the buried persistent weak layer will react to the forecasted warming.

In times of uncertainty, conservative terrain choices are our best defense.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to how buried persistent weak layers will react with the forecast weather.

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, wet loose avalanches were observed on steep terrain at lower elevations, while riders were able to trigger storm slabs (size 1.5) on easterly features at treeline.

Evidence of a natural cycle from Saturday night is still visible in the Lizard range with numerous storm slabs (size 1.5 to 2) released on north to east alpine and treeline slopes.

All of these avalanches failed on the late January surface hoar/crust layer described in the snowpack summary.

Snowpack Summary

10 to 15 cm of new snow now buries old surfaces, including a sun crust on south to east aspects, wind slabs in open areas and settling storm snow on north to east aspects. Moderate to strong south and west wind have affected the snow distribution, creating deeper deposits on lee slopes.

The late January surface hoar/crust layer is 20 to 40 cm deep and has shown signs of recent reactivity in the past 4 days, especially in sheltered treeline and below treeline features.

At 1600 meters and below, the snow surface is moist due to daytime warming. The mid and lower snowpack is well settled.

Weather Summary

Monday Night
Mostly cloudy. 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 1400 m.

Tuesday
A mix of sun and clouds. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0°C. Freezing level 2200 m.

Wednesday
Mostly sunny. 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 2800 m.

Thursday
Mostly sunny. 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 3300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • The more the snowpack warms up and weakens, the more conservative your terrain selection should be.
  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.
  • Avoid terrain traps such as gullies and cliffs where the consequence of any avalanche could be serious.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.