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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 4th, 2026–Feb 5th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead, South Rockies, Akamina, Bull, Crowsnest North, Crowsnest South, Elkford East, Elkford West.

The hazard will rise with daytime warming and sun.

It is uncertain how the recent snow is bonding to the old surfaces and whether enough snow has accumulated to produce slab avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to the timing or intensity of warming will affect the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported in this region.

If you are heading into the backcountry, please share your observations with the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

A mix of refrozen, crusty snow and moist snow is expected on the surface by Thursday morning, depending on the extent of an overnight refreeze. With above-freezing temperatures and sunny skies, moist snow is likely on all aspects and at all elevations by the afternoon.

On average, 5 to 10 cm of wind-affected snow overlies a widespread melt-freeze crust, ranging in thickness from 5 to 20 cm. Beneath the crust sits 10 to 20 cm of unconsolidated faceted snow. In wind-sheltered terrain, surface hoar may be present on top of the crust.

The mid and lower snowpack is generally well settled, with no significant concerns.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy. 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 3200 m.

Thursday
Mostly sunny. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 3600 m.

Friday
Mostly sunny. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 3300 m.

Saturday
Sunny. 70 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 2200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • The more the snowpack warms up and weakens, the more conservative your terrain selection should be.
  • Avoid areas where the snow feels stiff and/or slabby.
  • Travel early on sun-exposed slopes before cornices weaken with daytime warming.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.