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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 22nd, 2022–Feb 23rd, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Rockies.

Recent reverse loading from northeast winds have formed wind slabs in unusual places. There is uncertainty about how quickly slabs will bond to old surfaces like melt-freeze crusts and hard wind-pressed snow.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to how quickly the snowpack will recover and gain strength.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear, light northeast winds at treeline, alpine lows -27.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny, increasing clouds later in day, light northeast winds at treeline, high alpine could see moderate to strong winds, especially later in the afternoon. Alpine high of -15. 

THURSDAY: Light flurries overnight. Partly cloudy with light northwest winds. Alpine high of -10.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny, light southwest winds and alpine highs of -10.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday the field team reported evidence of a natural wind-driven avalanche cycle (likely from Monday), with avalanches in the size 1-2 range in the northern Elk Valley. On the east slope of the divide dry loose avalanches and small wind slabs have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

The 10-20 cm of most recent snow has been redistributed by moderate to strong northeast winds and has formed wind slabs in unusual places. Depending on wind loading and where you are in the region you could find approximately 20-50 cm over melt-freeze crusts on solar aspects at all elevations, and over firm wind-affected snow in other exposed terrain. 

The snowpack below is generally well consolidated, with a crust/facet layer found near the bottom of the snowpack. It is currently considered dormant but could become active later this season. Check out the forecaster blog for more information. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and wind exposure.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.