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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 7th, 2026–Feb 8th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos, South Columbia, Blue River, Esplanade, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold.

New snow and strong winds are building reactive storm slabs.

A persistent weak layer remains a significant concern in the region.

Conservative terrain choices are recommended.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain about forecast precipitation amounts.
  • We are uncertain about how quickly persistent slabs are gaining strength.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous natural, rider-triggered and remote-triggered slab avalanches (up to size 3) have been reported over the past few days. These avalanches released on the late January surface hoar layer/crust mentioned in the snowpack summary.

Widespread wet loose activity up to size 2 was also observed during the warming from Wednesday to Friday.

We expect the danger will remain elevated through Sunday, with both natural and human-triggered avalanches possible to likley.

Snowpack Summary

15 to 25 cm of new snow accompanied by strong west to southwesterly winds is in the forecast for Saturday night.

This snow will be adding to the 2 to 10 cm that fell in the region on Saturday, which is covering a new layer of surface hoar over a melt-freeze crust in many locations. This may make storm slabs more reactive.

The late January persistent weak layer, consisting of surface hoar/facets/crust, is buried 30 to 60 cm. It has surprised people with its reactivity this past week, especially in sheltered treeline features.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled with no layers of concern.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy. 15 to 25 cm of snow. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Sunday

Mix of sun and clouds. 1 to 4 cm of snow possible in the morning. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

Monday

Mostly sunny. 1 to 4 cm of snow. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy. 3 to 10 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Don't let storm day fever lure you into consequential terrain.
  • Remote triggering is a big concern, be aware of the potential for wide propagations and large, destructive avalanches at all elevations.
  • Start on smaller terrain features and gather information before committing to bigger terrain.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.