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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 3rd, 2017–Mar 4th, 2017

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

The Icefields Parkway North of Saskatchewan Cross and Maligne Lake road are currently closed with avalanche control taking place on Saturday

Weather Forecast

Snow will continue through the night with upwards of 30cm forecast. Winds at and above treeline will be moderate to Strong from the SW. Temperatures will cool to -12 where they will remain during Saturday as the storm passes. A cooling trend will follow. Lows of -19 near treeline and on Sat night as winds become lighter and shift to the south.

Snowpack Summary

Under the influence of moderate to strong SW winds 15cm of new snow has fallen during the day in the icefields area. This amount is expected to double overnight. Storm slabs are building at treeline and above over a weak and unstable snowpack below. Below treeline the snowpack is unsupported with weak facets and depth hoar.

Avalanche Summary

With whiteout conditions and steady snow there have been no reported avalanches due to poor visibility. However, the danger and likelihood of natural avalanche is currently high and will remain so until the weather system passes. All avalanche terrain should be considered suspect and avoided as large far running avalanches are expected.

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.