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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 4th, 2016–Dec 5th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

This last storm has dropped 25cm of snow but has also increased the hazard.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

There is up to 25cm recent storm snow and an additional 10cm forecast until the end of day on Sunday. This new snow along with what has fallen so far will keep the avalanche hazard at Considerable in the Alpine.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity was observed.

Snowpack Summary

20-30 cm of storm snow is overlying a buried wind slab. This new snow and the buried wind slab down 50cm are both reactive to snow pit tests in the Alpine. These two layers are certainly a concern for triggering. The November 12th melt-freeze crust is now 40-60cm down from the surface and is still showing a good bond with the snow above.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.