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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 23rd, 2017–Feb 24th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Localized flurries are gradually building the snowpack. Good skiing can be found in sheltered, moderate angle terrain. We're still not recommending big terrain because of the unpredictable nature of the basal layers.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Light winds overnight tonight with trace amounts of snow. Tomorrow  will see some light convective flurries, hopefully bringing 4cm of snow. Winds will stay light at all elevations and the daytime high will hit -14°.

Avalanche Summary

Some small loose dry avalanches were noted today. They did not travel far and did not trigger any slabs.

Snowpack Summary

Flurries have left us with 5-10cm of new snow on the Spray and as much as 15cm closer to the divide. This new snow is settling fast on solar aspects at all elevations. On steep solar aspects there is a buried suncrust (feb 17th) down 20-30cm. Beneath this snow, the upper pack remains well settled with denser slabs as the 50cm depth is reached. Immediately below this settled upper pack is the much weaker basal layers. This layer varies between 30-50cm and is a dog's breakfast of crusts, facets and depth hoar.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.