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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 28th, 2016–Mar 29th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Solar radiation and daytime heating will lead to an increase in danger levels, especially on solar aspects. Start early and finish early. Big slopes in the Alpine are still a serious concern due to deeply buried weak layers.

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Tuesday will bring a mix of sun and cloud to the region with no precipitation expected. Alpine temperatures will reach a high of -2 °C with freezing levels near 2100m. Ridge-top winds will be out of the north at 15-30 km/h. The remainder of the week looks to be relatively warm with freezing levels climbing to 2500m on Wednesday.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new today, but visibility was limited.

Snowpack Summary

Variable new snow amounts overnight ranging from 3 to 15cm. This snow overlies crusts everywhere except on northerly aspects above 2200m. Numerous buried crusts now exist on solar aspects. Moist surface snow observed today at lower elevations. The deep persistent layer from early January remains on our radar as a "low probability - high consequence" layer. Cornices continue to grow and sag.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.