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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 12th, 2019–Apr 13th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Coast.

A brief return to winter! 20-30 cm of new snow, strong winds, and low freezing levels are forecast to create fresh storm slabs reactive to human triggers by the end of day Saturday.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy / Moderate, southwesterly winds / Alpine low -1 C / Freezing level 1000 m.SATURDAY: Snow; 20-30 cm. (rain below roughly 1000 m.) / Strong, southwesterly winds / Alpine high -1 C / Freezing level 1200 m.SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy / Light, southwesterly winds / Alpine high -1 C / Freezing level 1100 m.MONDAY: Mostly cloudy with flurries; 3-5 cm. / Light, southwesterly winds / Alpine high 2 C / Freezing level 1300 m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported in the region on Thursday. However, avalanche activity is expected to increase on Saturday with the forecast snow and wind.

Snowpack Summary

10-15 mm. of precipitation on Wednesday fell as moist snow at treeline and rain below which sits on a melt freeze crust. Warm temperatures and wet precipitation are producing a moist, spring snowpack. The snowpack depth decreases rapidly below 1200 m.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.