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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 17th, 2014–Feb 18th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Weather Forecast

20cm of snow possible by Friday in the Columbia Icefield Area, winds South to South west in the light to moderate range, temps to remain cool.  Pressure rising towards the weekend, producing clear skies and calm winds.

Snowpack Summary

Recent snowfall is settling rapidly and overlies a supportive mid-pack. This interface is characterized by crust and facets and new slabs are touchy in specific terrain, particularly steep, lee aspects below ridge crests. Intense wind scouring in the alpine.

Avalanche Summary

Avalauncher control work on Parker Slabs produced several size 2 soft slab avalanches up to 50cm deep and 50m wide. No natural activity was observed along the Icefields Parkway.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.