Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 31st, 2016–Apr 1st, 2016

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Avalanche control is planned for the Columbia Icefields area  on  Friday afternoon during which time the Parkway will be closed it that area. Maligne Lake  road is closed due to avalanche danger.

Weather Forecast

Winds will remain  north westerly and freezing levels are expected to reach 2,800m on Friday with the potentially of double digit temperatures close to treeline. Expect sun. Overnight recovery will be minimal. Winds will switch more westerly into the weekend and temperatures will cool slightly bring the freezing down to near 2000m as it does.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is heating up and rapidly approaching isothermal conditions at and below treeline. Higher in the alpine and on northerly aspects  more winter like conditions prevail. Cornices are large and of particular concern for their ability to trigger large avalanches along mid pack weakness. Freezing will not occur tonight.

Avalanche Summary

The solar radiation is energizing the snowpack and numerous avalanche have been reported today from all elevations. Both loose moist avalanches and dry slab avalanches have occurred up to size 2. Point release events from steep rocky alpine terrain are able to trigger deeper instabilities creating much larger avalanches that can scrub to ground.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.