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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 29th, 2015–Jan 30th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

There has been significant change to the lower elevation snowpack over the past week. This will be an important interface to monitor as the next pulse of snow arrives this weekend.

Weather Forecast

Cool temps for the next few days, with freezing levels creeping up to treeline elevation on Friday afternoon. 10cm of snow expected to fall in the Columbia Icefield area by Sunday night.

Snowpack Summary

Recent warm temperatures and rain followed by cooler temps have produced a widespread crust up to 2400 on all aspects. Above this, previous wind affected surfaces in exposed areas and wind slabs on lee aspects.

Avalanche Summary

The avalanche activity has slowed with the cooler temperatures. Several small loose wet slides were observed today along the Endless Chain out of steep, rocky, solar aspects around 2100m.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.