Avalanche forecast

Turnagain Pass and Girdwood

Chugach National Forest Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 9 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Despite the lack of recent snowfall, we still have buried weak layers up to 3' deep at upper elevations that could cause large human-triggered avalanches. Localized outflow winds could also cause smaller avalanches up to 1' deep. The ongoing glide avalanche cycle has caused very large and destructive avalanches along popular routes. We recommend you avoid travelling under glide cracks as much as possible. 

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3

    Recent Avalanches: The last significant avalanche cycle was during the Thanksgiving storm,  about 11 days ago. Since then, we have seen continued glide avalanche activity throughout the area.

    The cold and clear weather has taken hold and doesn't want to let go. During this period of prolonged high pressure, our main concern is several lingering buried surface hoar layers that formed in November and are buried up to 3' deep. Triggering an avalanche on these weak layers is slowly becoming less likely, but there is a reason they are called persistent weak layers. They can sit in the snowpack for weeks or longer and still cause large avalanches with no warning signs. 

    These weak layers are only a concern above 2500', but that is also where the good snow conditions are. Digging snow pits can be a good way to identify and assess locations where these weak layers still exist. However, the signs can be very subtle, and even avalanche professionals can get unreliable information from digging pits with this type of weak layer. The best way to avoid the problem entirely is to stick to simple terrain, with low angle slopes and away from any terrain traps that could cause a deeper burial in case of an avalanche. 

    Wind Slabs: So far, it seems like Turangain Pass has avoided the brunt of the outflow winds. But these winds can be highly localized, so it is important to look for active wind transport and be aware that wind slabs up to 1' deep could be easy for a person to trigger near ridgelines or convex features. 

  • Glide Cracks

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3

    Glide avalanches have been releasing at an alarming rate so far this season, including along very popular travel corridors on the skier's side and motorized side of Turnagain Pass. The cold weather could induce a change in the glide avalanche activity, but no one really knows how this shift in weather patterns will impact glide avalanches. The best we can do is to minimize our time underneath glide cracks and stay vigilant for any new cracks forming on slopes above you. It is not uncommon for glide cracks to open up and then cause a natural avalanche within minutes to hours. 

    (12/8/2025) Magnum glide from the highway

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